Sunday

- no favourite tips today - note Carry on Sydney yesterday was not a favourite so I shouldn't have tipped it - will  get better at this as the season progresses

Bad results today

Well Carry on Sydney came into range at the very last seconds & I missed it as we had visitors

Good old Betfair went down & prevented me from getting a bet on Star Lahib, so my £96 is still intact.

All my past schemes have always started badly and this is no exception - we go to the next day

Withdrawals

Withdrawals can change the dynamics of a race so be sure to check at 2.00pm to see if the recommendations have changed

First bet of the season

Star Lahib in the 4.50 at Doncaster - if it remains at 3/1 or less

Possibly Carry on Sydney at Musselburgh if it goes to less than 3/1

Why start the flat season like this

What a hopeless organisation of the fixtures - we only bet on grass races, so no more tips to the end of the coming week - patience required for us

No Longer Valid 2.30

After key withdrawals, Model Pupil is no longer to be LAYed

No other LAYs in the racecard - rotten weather

Doncaster 2.30

Model Pupil

Remember - lay i n the place market

kick off in 2 days - I will be publishing a running total after every day as long as I remember to

Launch of a database-underpinned blog to see if I can reproduce the last four years in 2013.  In this case we are trying to turn £96 (8x£12 bets) into £396 by doing what we half did in the previous 4 years.  The pitfalls and successes will be described as we go along.  Nate Silver would recognise that depending on the past for the future is a tricky thing, but I am confident.  The first 2 or three bets may go wrong, cos those wicked betting Gods take pleasure in trying to make you lose confidence in any new betting strategy.  Have faith!